France, sweden, austria, and belgium, which already have the worlds largest muslim minorities, will have muslim communities with 9. Air superiority forces will face growing numbers of these threats across a. In this project, first we envisioned social values and experiences the city of tigre should provide for its citizens, and then by backcasting we identified crucial issues, creating a plan to achieve the vision for 2030 as proposed through necs solutions. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global. Policy implications for the future of global health procurement the availability and affordability of health productsmedicines, diagnostics, devices, and equipmentare critical to achieving universal health coverage and improving health outcomes. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Indeed, one of the defining characteristics of our age is its ability to surprise and confound. The standing committee expects that the projections, assessments, and proactive plans for future studies to expand the scope of the project internationally.
Four worlds of work for 2030 which will kickstart your thinking about the many possible scenarios that. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. The future of alternative investments 3 introduction and scope the alternative investment industry is deeply embedded in the global. Germany is aging earlier than spain because its fertility declined earlier. May 05, 20 this video summarizes the four megatrends as identified in the national intelligence councils report titled global trends 2030. As the title of the national intelligence council s nic capstone publication suggests, this look at possible alternative worlds is the essence of the study. Challenges and choices for europe report is a contribution to support policy and decisionmakers as they navigate the world into 2030. A condensed version of the report is also available 1.
A cocreative project vision 2030 for tigre, argentina. Alternative worlds report released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. These consider the range of forces, challenges, and opportunities shaping public health in the u. Michael marien suggests respondents evaluate its main. To take a minor example, a technology enabling for one million dollars to increase ones life expectancy to 150 years. The pew foundation forecasts that europes muslim population will double from 4. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the. Eu energy trends to 2030 eu energy baseline 2009 and reference scenario introduction 9 1. A portfolio of four alternative scenarios, or development paths, present plausible pictures of what the uks job landscape might look like in 2030 and which skills will be required under these conditions. All such very likely developments, in part within the 2030 time horizon. The alternative is an even longer list of blog posts, like above, linked at end of post. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030.
China took the lead in 2017 with a market for trading the right to emit a tonne of co2, setting the world on a path towards a single carbon price and a powerful incentive to ditch fossil fuels, predicts jane burston, head of climate and environment at the uks national physical laboratory. Gt 2030 critique, global warming, global limits, u. In many countries, the extended family has all but disappeared, and the traditional family consisting of a married couple with children has become much less widespread as divorce rates, cohabitation, couples living. Using the international futures ifs modeling platform, these. Le menu 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 uk 18201870 us 19001950 japan 19501980 china 20002020 india 2010 2030 60 ssa nsa mna apc eur 50 40 30 20 10 0 80 60 20 0 1950 2010 2030 40 the world is transforming at an unprecedented rate it took britain 155 years to double gdp per capita, with about 9 million people. By 2030, no countrywhether the us, china, or any other large countrywill be a hegemonic power. Jan 07, 20 nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. The empowerment of individuals and diffusion of power among states and from states to informal networks will have a dramatic impact.
Dec 18, 2017 we at pwc have spent some time envisioning four alternative future worlds of work, each named with a color. The world in 2030 wont look anything like you think. A critique of global trends 2030 alternative worlds. Introduction this report is an update of the previous trend scenarios, such as the. As with the nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the futurewhich would be an impossible featbut. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. In a likely tectonic shift, the united states could become energyindependent.
This report presents various scenarios of what our world could look like by 2030, and is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today. Challenges and choices for europe global trends to 2030 towards a culture of preparedness and anticipation against this backdrop, the espas global trends to 2030. It specifically focuses on the role of alternative proteins as one of three pathways. The world in 2030 wont look anything like you think the. Jun 05, 2019 drawing on a range of political, economic, and social trends, this paper envisions how the global landscape might change between now and 2030, with a focus on the implications for global health, imagining the alternative worlds of 2030. Top tips for teaching thank you for volunteering to teach the world s largest lesson. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. T he world of 2030 will be radically potential black swansdiscrete eventswould transformed from our world today.
Introduction activity 10 mins this activity is designed to provide an entry point to the goals either one goal or a theme from the goals that students can relate to rather than overwhelming them with all the goals at the same time. Alternative investments 2020 the future of alternative. This report develops four worlds of work for 2030 which will kickstart your thinking about the many possible scenarios that could develop, and how to best prepare for the future. World bank, global partnership for education, educate a. Dec 10, 2012 download pdf on monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. The goal of the report is to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over. Nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. Napoleon and the conquest of the world by louis geoffroy, napoleon s first french empire emerging. Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012.
World primary energy consumption is projected to grow by 1. In the first issue we put a particular focus on the scarcity of. Study panel peter stone, university of texas at austin, chair rodney brooks, rethink robotics. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. Drawing on a range of political, economic, and social trends, this paper envisions how the global landscape might change between now and 2030, with a focus on the implications for global health, imagining the alternative worlds of 2030. Th e us and germany took between 30 and 60 years with a few tens of million people. This gt2030 link should start a pdf download immediately. The us has regained its position as the world s largest natural gas producer and expanded the life of its reserves from 30 to 100 years due to hydraulic fracturing technology. And, more radical, the likelihood of technologies engabling a few fanatics to endanger the existance of the human species. Peter groen take the time to look over the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils nic series of reports aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future entitled global trends 2030. Global trends 2030 with america at the center forbes. Sam nujoma, emphasized the need for members for the cabinet, in the interest. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world.
All such very likely developments, in part within the 2030 time horizon, will require a kind of global leviathan enforcing limitations on development and use of dangerous or disruptibe technologies worldwide with very radical implications for global governance not coped with in the relevant publication. Intelligence community, national intelligence council the national intelligence strategy of the united states of america, national intelligence council. The documents are hereby made available for free and easy access. Global trends and alternative worlds conversation mr. Alternative worlds, the nic identifies major global trends and how they will play out to impact nations, their people, and the international community in the. Highly educated syrian refugees will have come of age by 2030, making the case for the economic integration of those who have been forced to flee conflict. Citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world summary theme major trends ancillary trends empowerment of individuals. Arguably, darker scenarios are imaginable, including a complete breakdown and reversal of globalization due to a potential large.
Dec 11, 2012 the national intelligence councils nic justreleased global trends 2030. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence. Many developed countries fell well behind their energy efficiency targets in the 2020s due to lack of. Global trends 2030 reports of all possible future worlds. If instead consumption growth in each country persistently falls short of projections, 9. According to a recently released report from the national intelligence council titled global trends 2030. Introduction since the 1960s the family in the oecd area has undergone significant transformation. Incorporated as a notforprofit foundation in 1971, and headquartered in geneva, switzerland, the forum is tied to no political, partisan or national interests.
Towards 20152030 an fao perspective edited by jelle bruinsma earthscan publications ltd. This is a list of alternate history fiction, sorted by type. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. Alternative worlds we looked at the four possible future models of the world out to 2030 the alternative worlds portion of the study. Alternative worlds leads with the stalled engines alternative world a scenario in which the united states and europe turn inward and globalization stalls as one of its bookends, illustrating the most plausible worstcase scenario. Both countries will experience a decline in their support ratio by about 25% between 2010 and 2050, about twice as great a decline as in the other three countries.
A global human community but a growing expectations gap empowerment of individuals global rise of the middle class. The difference between spain and germany is online pokies primarily a matter of timing. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. Policy implications for the future of global health procurement center for global development. Air superiority 2030 flight plan enterprise capability collaboration team may 2016. A world transformed, with america at the center by daniel twining posits that the usa has a lot of strengths that will allow it to prosper in the future. Jan 03, 20 global trends 2030 with america at the center. For a more extensive list of relevant research and analysis see the climate security research hub. Dec 01, 2012 there are four alternative worlds to think about what 2030 might look like, ranging from the most optimistic that is still realistic fusion to the most pessimistic that is still realistic stalled engine. Alternative worlds report identifies key metatrends that will shape the future international system, including the. These admittedly extreme examples of how work could look in 2030 are shaped by the ways people and organizations respond to the forces of collectivism and individualism, on one axis, and integration and fragmentation on the other. If the rise of a multipolar world doesnt seem very new.
The future of families to 2030 the future of families to 2030. Public engagement in energy soars in areas with community energy ownership. It then presents five alternative scenarios designed to help explore the impact of different policies on economic and social development indicators. The climate security chronology lists significant policy documents, reports and events by year. Ultimately, the report serves as an evidencebased summary designed to stimulate thinking about the future. Megatrends that could change the world by 2030 business insider. The world economic forum is an independent international organization committed to improving the state of the world by engaging business, political, academic and other leaders of society to shape global, regional and industry agendas. This report explores egypts current development trajectory to 2030 across areas of human and economic development. Alternative worlds global trends reports volume 5 by national intelligence council english isbn. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. The world of 2030 will be radically transformed from our world today.
Alternative worlds, china will possess the worlds largest economy by 2030, if not sooner. Burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, discusses the global trends 2030. The office of the director of national intelligence has recently released a report titled, global trends 2030. The world needs to be better prepared for populations on the move, writes lorna solis, founder and ceo of the ngo blue rose compass, as climate change will have displaced 1 billion people. Dec, 2012 nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. As part of the new formatting, we had both a theme, we had a graphic quiz that you had to solve. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future.
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